The Depression over Telangana has moved further west-northwestwards with a speed of 32 kmph during past 6 hours and lay centred today about 80 km northwest of Gulbarga in North Interior Karnataka and about 160 km east of Sholapur in Madhya Maharashtra.
According to a caution note issued by the Disaster Management Division of the Ministry of Home Affairs to Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Pondichery, Maharashtra, and Gujarat to this effect, today stated that due to an impact of which heavy to heavy rainfall at several places may occur in the next 2 days.
The warning note said it is very likely to move west-northwestwards and gradually weaken into a Well-marked low-Pressure area during next 12 hours. Thereafter, it is very likely to continue to move west northwestwards and emerge into the east-central Arabian Sea off Maharashtra coast around October 16th morning. There is also the possibility of its further intensification into a Depression over east-central & adjoining northeast the Arabian Sea off Maharashtra – South Gujarat coasts and gradual west-northwestward movement.
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and Extremely heavy rainfalls, 20 cm per day, at isolated places would occur over Madhya Maharashtra, south Konkan & Goa, coastal Karnataka, Ghat section of south interior Karnataka and adjoining Districts of north interior Karnataka and heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over north Konkan and remaining districts of north interior Karnataka.
Also Heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places likely over Marathawada during next 12 hours. October 15, 2020: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and Extremely heavy rainfalls (20 cm per day) at isolated places would occur over Konkan & Goa, heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over coastal Karnataka and heavy falls at isolated places over Madhya Maharashtra south Gujarat region.
Strong wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph very likely to prevail around the system centre and over Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and adjoining North Interior Karnataka during next 12 hours and gradually decrease thereafter. ✓ Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely to commence along & off Maharashtra & south Gujarat coasts from 15 October morning. It would gradually increase becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over east-central & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra & Gujarat coasts from October 16th evening.
Sea condition will be rough to very rough over east-central & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra & Gujarat coasts from October 16.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea along & off Maharashtra & south Gujarat coasts and over east-central & adjoining northeast the Arabian Sea from October 15 onwards for the subsequent 3 days.
Damage expected over Karnataka and Maharashtra
Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards & drumstick trees and Horticultural crops. Minor damage to Kutcha embankments due to heavy rain. ✓ Flooding/water logging in low lying areas, disruption of surface transport due to falling of trees, landslides, water pooling etc. Also, Roads could be wet & slippery. ✓Clogging of the Drainage system and flash floods due to heavy rains.